Pregame

Wednesday MLB: Chi. White Sox vs. St. Louis

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The St. Louis Cardinals have the best record in baseball but they have not hit left-handers well and after losing to Chris Sale of the Chicago White Sox last night, they face another tonight in Jose Quintana. The Cardinals are batting just .231 vs. lefties, and much like facing Sale for the first time ever Tuesday, they are again unfamiliar with their foe here as Quintana has only faced them once back in 2012. Quintana has pitched better than his 3-7 record and 3.95 ERA as he has 76 strikeouts vs. 26 walks in 93.1 innings with only eight home runs allowed, leading to a 3.57 FIP and 1.5 WAR. He has allowed three runs or less in five straight starts. Meanwhile John Lackey is 6-4 with a 3.35 ERA for the Cardinals, but he has a 4.03 xFIP. The Cardinals are 7-19 in their last 26 interleague home games vs. left-handed starters.

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Pick: White Sox +134

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Tuesday MLB: San Francisco vs. Miami

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It could be a low scoring game when the hot Ryan Vogelsong and the San Francisco Giants visit Mat Latos and the Miami Marlins. Vogelsong comes off of back-to-back scoreless outings over which he allowed a total of just eight hits in 12.2 innings with 10 strikeouts, and he is a perfect six-for-six in Quality Starts in his career vs. the Marlins, most recently allowing one run and just four hits in seven innings this year. Latos is struggling at 2-5 with a 5.49 ERA, but his peripherals are strong with 56 strikeouts vs. 22 walks in 62.1 innings and only six home runs allowed in 12 starts, leading to a more representative 3.61 FIP. He tossed a gem his only start vs. the Giants this year allowing one run in seven innings in San Francisco. The ‘under’ is 12-4-1 in the Marlins’ last 17 home games.

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Pick: ‘under’ 7

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Monday MLB: N.Y. Yankees vs. L.A. Angels

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In a matchup of two pitchers whose fine command numbers suggest they are better than their records, the ‘under’ could have some hidden value when C.C. Sabathia and the New York Yankees visit C.J. Wilson and the Los Angeles Angels. Sabathia is just 3-7 with a 5.65 ERA, and yet he has an amazing ratio of 78 strikeouts vs. 17 walks in 87.2 innings while getting bitten by allowing an unlucky .343 BABIP. He also loves pitching in this pitchers’ park where the ball does not carry at night, allowing two runs or less in his last four starts at Angel Stadium. Wilson is 5-6 with a 3.92 ERA, but too has a nice ratio with 84 strikeouts vs. 29 walks and he has allowed three runs or less in seven of his last eight starts vs. the Yankees. The ‘under’ is 15-5-1 in the Angels’ last 21 games vs. left-handed starters.

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Pick: ‘under’ 8

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Sunday MLB: Arizona vs. San Diego

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We feel Chase Anderson of the Arizona Diamondbacks is vastly underrated and he could help key an ‘under’ vs. Odrisamer Despaigne and the San Diego Padres at pitcher-friendly Petco Park. Yes, Anderson was lit up for eight earned runs in 4.2 innings at Colorado last out, which can happen to anyone in that altitude, but that only raised his ERA to 3.54 as he has still allowed two runs or less in eight of his last 10 starts. He has allowed two earned runs or less in four of his five starts vs. the Padres since coming to the majors, including both starts this season. Despaigne has allowed two runs or less in five of his last seven starts, and he held Arizona to one run and just two hits in seven innings here at Petco on April 14th. The ‘under’ is 6-0 in Anderson’s last six starts as an underdog.

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Pick: ‘under’ 7½

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Saturday MLB: L.A. Dodgers vs. Miami

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Clayton Kershaw of the Los Angeles Dodgers has not looked like a three-time Cy Young winner on the road this year, and that could help push this game ‘over’ this cheap total visiting Tom Koehler and the Miami Marlins. Kershaw dropped to 5-5 while losing to the Cubs in Chicago Monday allowing three earned runs in seven innings, and he is now an unheard of 1-3 with a 4.22 ERA on the road for the season. He is facing a Miami offense batting a potent .287 vs. left-handers here at home this year while averaging 4.64 runs against them. Koehler has had some nice moments but he is far from unhittable at 5-4 with a 3.76 ERA. He has alternated good and bad starts his last four outings, which would put him in line for a bad one today. The ‘over’ is 37-9-5 in the last 51 head-to-head meetings.

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Pick: ‘over’ 6½

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