Pregame

Monday CFB: BYU vs. Memphis

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We feel the wrong team is favored in the first ever Miami Beach Bowl when the BYU Cougars face the Memphis Tigers. BYU may have been on its way to an unbeaten season until dual-threat quarterback Taysom Hill was lost to a broken leg, and the Cougars immediately lost four straight games at that time. However they regrouped to win their last four games by an average score of 43.8-16.3, ending the season with a thrilling 42-35 road win at California. Memphis was the AAC Champion this season, but remember it faced a schedule ranked 126th across all of college football (FBS/FCS) in SOS, and there are only 128 FBS teams! That brings Memphis’s fifth ranking in points against at 17.1 points per game into question and the Tigers were only 53rd in total offense despite that weak schedule. Memphis is 3-13 ATS in its last 16 games on grass.

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Pick: BYU +110 (Money Line)

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Sunday NFL: N.Y. Giants vs. St. Louis

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While the St. Louis Cardinals have gone three straight games without allowing a touchdown, we would not be surprised to see a higher scoring game here as we think that the New York Giants are capable of scoring points with Eli Manning possibly passing the ball 40 times this game. That is because running back Andre Williams has been ineffective while filling in for the injured Rashad Jennings, and the Rams have been stout vs. the run lately anyway. But a one-dimensional passing attack could work because Odell Beckham has already become matchup-proof even as a rookie, and due to his emergence, Manning has passed for at least 247 yards eight straight games. Meanwhile the St. Louis offense should perform better with Tre Mason running on a 30th ranked Giants’ rushing defense, setting up quarterback Shaun Hill for success. The ‘over’ is 7-1 in the Rams’ last eight home games vs. teams with losing road records.

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Pick: ‘over’ 43

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Saturday NFL: Philadelphia vs. Washington

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The Philadelphia Eagles are still fighting for the NFC East title while the Washington Redskins are just playing out the string, but the Eagles still seem like overlays giving more than a touchdown on the road here following back-to-back losses in which Mark Sanchez played poorly in both games. And those losses were both at home! Even worse, Philadelphia may need to lean on Sanchez here because the Redskins have been stout defending the run allowing just 3.7 YPC and they have not yielded 100 rushing yards since Week 8. Meanwhile Robert Griffin III just had his best game of the season vs. the Giants after entering in the first quarter with Colt McCoy knocked out for the season, and his scrambling ability should allow him to buy time to find open receivers vs. the porous Eagles’ secondary. The Eagles are 0-6 ATS in their last six games following a double-digit home loss.

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Pick: Redskins +7½

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Friday CBB: Eastern Washington vs. California

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Both the Eastern Washington Eagles and California Golden Bears are off to nice starts this season, but Eastern Washington is not sneaking up on opponents any more after beating Indiana earlier and has now lost two straight games, most recently by 24 points to a Sam Houston State team ranked 106th on the Pomeroy Ratings. This is also the fifth straight road game for the Eagles, who may be looking forward to finally returning home on Monday. California represents a step up in class for Eastern Washington, which has probably not yet faced a defense this good. The Golden Bears are 24th in the country in defensive efficiency and an amazing 13th in effective field goal percentage allowed at a mere 40.9 percent! The Bears also have two wins vs. Pomeroy 100 teams including beating 39th ranked Syracuse. California is 9-3-2 ATS in its last 14 non-conference games.

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Pick: California -6

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Thursday CBB: Montana State vs. South Dakota

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This may not be a marquee matchup with the Montana State Coyotes taking on the South Dakota Coyotes, but perhaps for that reason we do not that South Dakota has any right being a double-digit favorite here. The Coyotes have lost three straight games and their defense is way too shaky to trust them giving this many points, as they rank 313th in the country in defensive efficiency and 293rd in defensive turnover percentage at 17.4 percent vs. a national average of 20.1 percent. Montana State has won two of its last three games and while the Bobcats are 0-5 straight up on the road, three of those losses have come at Pomeroy Top 100 teams including at UCLA and at number one Kentucky! Also Montana State plays a Princeton style offense South Dakota rarely faces. South Dakota is 6-15 ATS in its last 21 games as a favorite.

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Pick: Montana State +10½

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