Pregame

Monday NBA: New Orleans vs. Golden State

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The New Orleans Pelicans and Golden State Warriors combined for exactly 205 points in the Warriors’ 106-99 win in Game 1 and expect an up-tick in the scoring for Game 2. Many of the young Pelicans were getting their first playoff experience and they did not shoot well for the first three quarters before a 33-point fourth quarter cut an 18-point deficit to seven, although New Orleans still shot just 42.2 percent overall. The Warriors put up their 106 points on 45.7 percent shooting, which they also can improve on after leading the NBA in scoring (110.0 points per game), field goal percentage (47.8 percent) and three-point shooting (39.8 percent) during the regular season. And it is not as if the New Orleans defense is impenetrable, as the Pelicans finished 23rd in field goal percentage allowed at 45.6 percent. The ‘over’ is 9-2-1 in the Warriors’ last 12 home games.

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Pick: ‘over’ 205

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Sunday NBA: San Antonio vs. L.A. Clippers

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The San Antonio Spurs failed to win the Southwest Division and earn a second seed when they had their 11-game winning streak snapped in their season finale at New Orleans, but that makes them one of the more dangerous six-seeds ever at 55-27 as they visit the third seeded Los Angeles Clippers for Game 1. Obviously the defending champions have a huge edge in playoff experience but they also look to have a nice edge defensively, which may ultimately not only decide this game but also this series. The Spurs are third in the NBA in points against at 97.0 per games compared to the Clippers ranking 16th allowing 100.1 points per contest. That lax defense has been the very reason why the Clippers have been playoff disappointments the last few years despite almost always being top-four seeds. The Spurs are 13-6 ATS in the last 19 head-to-head meetings in Los Angeles.

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Pick: Spurs +105 (Money Line)

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Saturday NBA: Dallas vs. Houston

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Two familiar rivals meet in the NBA Playoffs as the Dallas Mavericks and the Houston Rockets both hail from the Southwest Division, and although the Rockets won three out of four meetings during the regular season, all the games were close with Houston winning the two encounters here at home by three and five points respectively. The Rockets are also a bit short-handed with Patrick Beverley and Donatas Montiejunas out for the season. The Mavericks have scorers at every position and finished third in the NBA in scoring during the year with 105.2 points per game. They also have a couple of veteran past playoff heroes in Dirk Nowitzki and Rajon Rondo and they had the luxury of being able to rest those veterans at times down the stretch, seemingly locked into the seven-seed the last few weeks. The Mavericks are 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 first-round playoffs games.

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Pick: Mavericks +5

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Friday MLB: Cincinnati vs. St. Louis

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There could be a nice pitching matchup between Johnny Cueto of the Cincinnati Reds and Michael Wacha of the St. Louis Cardinals, but we are backing Cueto at this underdog price. That is no knock against Wacha, but Cueto is more proven over a longer period and if not for Clayton Kershaw, Cueto would have been a Cy Young candidate last year going 20-9 with a 2.25 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, a .194 batting average allowed and 242 strikeouts in 243.2 innings. He is 0-1 currently but has allowed just one earned run and 10 baserunners (eight hits plus two walks) in 14 innings. This is a pitching rematch from Saturday when Wacha bested Cueto 4-1, but look for the Reds to make adjustments and they did reach Wacha for six runs in four innings in a start last September. The Reds are 44-19 in Cueto’s last 63 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.

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Pick: Reds +116

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Thursday MLB: Tampa Bay vs. Toronto

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After getting contained the first two games by the Tampa Bay Rays, the Toronto Blue Jays exploded for a 12-7 win Wednesday and we like them to gain a split of this four-game series. Chris Archer allowed one hit in seven scoreless innings at Miami last out for Tampa, but we feel he is a bit overrated and he was hit hard by the Blue Jays several times posting a 4.14 ERA in six starts against them in 2014. This Toronto offense is ranked fourth in the majors early in runs scored at 5.89 per game, and the Jays have already scored double-digits three times! Aaron Sanchez would have been called up earlier if not for shaky command, but that command improved in the minors last season and he walked just two his first Major League start vs. Baltimore. The Blue Jays are 15-6 in their last 21 games on astroturf.

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Pick: Blue Jays -107

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