Pregame

Thursday CFB: Clemson vs. Louisville

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It could be a classing case of “buy low, sell high” when the Clemson Tigers visit the Louisville Cardinals. Yes, Clemson is 2-0 while winning by a combined score of 90-20 while Louisville is 0-2 after getting upset here at home by Houston out of the AAC on Saturday. However, Clemson has beaten a couple of cupcakes in Wofford and Appalachian State and now steps up in class in its ACC opener while going on the road for the first time at a difficult environment, especially at night. That seems to make the Tigers vulnerable road favorites. Louisville meantime was simply caught in sandwich game vs. Houston as that contest was wedged between two games vs. ranked opponents. And the Cardinals covered the spread in a 31-24 loss to Auburn on a neutral field to open the season. Louisville is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games following a straight up loss.

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Pick: Louisville +6½ (-115)

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Wednesday MLB: Miami vs. N.Y. Mets

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The New York Mets are on the verge of winning the National League East with their magic number at 10, but they could be overvalued here with Bartolo Colon on the mound hosting Adam Conley and the Miami Marlins. The teams have split the first two games of this series with Miami showing it still has some fight besting Jacob deGrom 9-3 as a +223 underdog last night. Colon is pitching well allowing two runs in his last four starts, but this still seems like an inflated price for a 42-year-old with a 4.13 ERA for the season. The southpaw Conley may not be much but he has allowed three runs or less in four straight starts and is facing a Mets lineup batting just .223 and averaging only 3.01 runs here at home at Citi Field this season. The Marlins are 10-4 in their last 14 games overall.

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Pick: Marlins +190

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Tuesday MLB: Chi. Cubs vs. Pittsburgh (Game #2)

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This play is for Game 2 of today’s doubleheader between the Chicago Cubs and Pittsburgh Pirates (Jon Lester vs. J. A. Happ) in Pittsburgh. Lester is an extremely deceptive 9-10 with a 3.50 ERA, as he has pitched like the ace the Cubs thought they signed this off-season since an awful start to his National League career. He comes off of another sharp outing vs. the first-place Cardinals where he allowed one run and just two hits in seven innings and he also held the Pirates to one run in seven innings his only start against them this season. He faces a Pittsburgh lineup batting .192 vs. southpaws the last 10 games. His fellow lefty Happ has been a godsend since being acquired by the Pirates going 5-1 with a 1.79 ERA and 0.99 WHIP on a Pittsburgh uniform. The ‘under’ is 11-4-2 in Lester’s last 17 starts overall.

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Pick: ‘under’ 7½

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Monday MLB: N.Y. Yankees vs. Tampa Bay

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It could be a lower scoring game than the total suggests when C.C. Sabathia and the New York Yankees visit Erasmo Ramirez and the Tampa Bay Rays. Yes, Sabathia is 0-1 with a 4.43 ERA since the All-Star break, but he has allowed two earned runs or less in five of those starts and has a good ratio of 118 strikeouts vs. 40 walks for the season. His biggest issue has been allowing 26 home runs, but the Rays have hit just 43 homers off of southpaws all year and are batting.219 while averaging 3.27 runs against them the last 10 games. Meanwhile, Ramirez is a good 10-5 with a 3.95 ERA overall but a terrific 2.71 ERA here at home, and he has allowed one run in 11 innings while going 2-0 vs. the Yankees this year. The ‘under’ is 9-3-1 in the last 13 head-to-head meetings.

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Pick: ‘under’ 8

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Sunday NFL: Carolina vs. Jacksonville

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The Jacksonville Jaguars look like enticing home underdogs hosting the Carolina Panthers. Carolina does not have a reliable wide receiver on the roster right now with Kelvin Benjamin out for the season and his probable replacement Devin Funchess slowed by a hamstring injury, meaning the starting Panthers’ receivers here will probably be Ted Ginn Jr. and Corey Brown. That motley contingent could allow the Jacksonville defense to add an extra man in the box to key on the running of Jonathan Stewart and quarterback Cam Newton without fear of getting beaten deep. The Jaguars meanwhile are heading in the right direction with a fine young trio at the offensive skill positions in quarterback Blake Bortles, running back T.J. Yeldon and wide receiver Allen Robinson, and they have added a great offensive coordinator in Greg Olsen to speed Bortles’ development. The home teams are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.

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Pick: Jaguars +3

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