Pregame

Saturday CFB: UTSA vs. Western Kentucky

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The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers can score, boasting the eight ranked offense in the country with 512.9 yards per game while averaging 41.6 points, but they are 5-5 due to terrible defense, and they may not even score their usual scoring quota vs. the good defense of the Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners. UTSA is ranked 34th in the country in total defense and it is good in all facets, ranking 41st against the pass allowing 212.1 passing yards per game and 39th against the run at 141.9 rushing yards. And as potent as Western Kentucky is, it has still been rather one dimensional ranking fifth with 351.8 passing yards but 69th in rushing, which the good UTSA defense can take advantage of. Meanwhile WKU is 121st out of 128 FBS teams in total defense (508.0 yards) and scoring defense (39.8 points). Texas-San Antonio is 4-0 ATS in its last four games following a win.

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Pick: Texas-San Antonio +9½

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Friday CFB: Air Force vs. San Diego State

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The San Diego State Aztecs are 5-5 while the Air Force Falcons are 8-2, but this is a more important game for San Diego State as it looks to break a three-way tie atop the West Division of the Mountain West while Air Force seems out of the running for the Mountain Division title as the Falcons are in fourth place with both losses coming in conference. The Aztecs are a perfect 4-0 in San Diego while winning by an average of 18.0 points at home, helping explain why they are decided favorites despite the overall records. Both teams rely heavily on the run, so the key should come down to which team does a better job of stopping it and the Aztecs are allowing just 129.0 rushing yards per game on 3.5 yards per carry at home. San Diego State is 5-0 ATS in the last five head-to-head meetings.

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Pick: San Diego State -6

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Thursday CFB: Kansas State vs. West Virginia

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The West Virginia Mountaineers are still the only team to beat Baylor this season and we now look for them to knock off another ranked team in the 12th ranked Kansas State Wildcats, again at one of the most difficult venues in the county for visiting teams in Morgantown. Both teams come off a bye, but in the case of the Wildcats, they come off a discouraging 41-20 loss at TCU that knocked them out of College Football Playoff contention. Kansas State is not flashy but usually does enough to win, but that approach did not work vs. a high powered offense in TCU and does not figure to work here. West Virginia is 12th in the nation in total offense with 502.2 yards per game, averaging 34.1 points, and we do not expect Kansas State to keep pace. West Virginia is 4-1 ATS its last five games vs. teams with winning records.

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Pick: West Virginia -2½

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Wednesday CBB: UC Irvine vs. Arizona

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The 2-0 Arizona Wildcats are ranked second in the country but they may face resistance at this large spread vs. the UC Irvine Anteaters. The Anteaters can shoot right over the Arizona defense as they are shooting an unbelievable 57.8 percent from the floor after two games including 41.9 percent beyond the three-point arc! They also stepped up defensive in the second half of a 68-50 win over Pacific on Sunday allowing a just eight field goals after intermission. Arizona has opened with two wins over Mount St. Mary’s and CS Northridge, but it failed to cover the spread either game and appears to be facing a better opponent here. There could also be a disparity from the foul line favoring the underdogs, with Irvine 10th in free throw shooting at 88.2 percent and Arizona 290th at 56.7 percent! Arizona is 1-6 ATS in its last seven games overall.

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Pick: UC Irvine +15

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Tuesday NBA: New Orleans vs. Sacramento

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The surprising Sacramento Kings are 6-4 while averaging 102.8 points per game, but they could be without leading scorer Rudy Gay as he deals with tendinitis of the Achilles and they are actually playing better defense than most give them credit for. Yes they are allowing 101.6 points per contest, but that is more a function of their fast pace as Sacramento is actually eighth in the NBA in field goal percentage allowed at 43.4 percent. The New Orleans Pelicans could also be missing a key player in center Omer Asik after be missed last night’s 102-93 loss in Portland with back issues. His backup Alexis Ajinca scored only six points. New Orleans may opt to have forward Anthony Davis guard Sacramento center DeMarcus Cousins, but using that much energy on defense could also negatively affect the All-Star’s offense. The ‘under’ is 4-1 in the Kings’ last five home games.

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Pick: ‘under’ 200½

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