Pregame

Thursday CFL: Florida State vs. Louisville

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The defending champion Florida State Seminoles have won 23 straight games and are ranked second, but both that winning streak and their Playoff hopes could be in jeopardy when they visit the Louisville Cardinals. Louisville has the best defense in the land, leading the nation in total defense, raw defensive efficiency and DFEI, which is schedule-adjusted efficiency. So the Noles do not figure to score their usual share of points and may have to rely on defense to win, and that unit is down to 53rd in total defense after losing so much talent from the defense that was third in that category last season. And the Louisville offense is finally healthy with quarterback Will Gardner and wide receiver DeVante Parker back from injury and Michael Dyer running like he did at Auburn again. Florida State is 0-7 ATS its last seven games after allowing more than 450 total yards its previous game.

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Pick: Louisville +4½

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Wednesday NBA: Minnesota vs. Memphis

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Unbelievably, the Memphis Grizzles franchise (going back to the Vancouver days) has lost 13 straight opening games entering this opener! Obviously that is just a fluke for a team that made the playoffs the last four seasons and won at least 50 games the last two, and there is a good chance Memphis will snap that streak vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, but covering eight points is another matter for the defensive-minded Grizzlies, who do not typically blow teams out. Yes, Kevin Love is gone but the Timberwolves have a good young nucleus thanks to getting the past two number one picks Andrew Wiggins and Anthony Bennett for Love and they may actually be better defensively with him gone. Add a decent core of Nikola Pekovic, Ricky Rubio, Kevin Martin and Corey Brewer and Minnesota may surprise some folks. The Grizzlies are 4-11-2 ATS their last 17 games vs. the Western Conference.

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Pick: Timberwolves +8

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Tuesday MLB: San Francisco vs. Kansas City

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This is a pitching rematch of Game 2 between Jake Peavy of the San Francisco Giants and Yordano Ventura of the Kansas City Royals, and like that contest we expect another ‘over’. Peavy has great regular season numbers for the Giants with a 2.17 ERA and 1.04 WHIP after coming over from Boston, but he took advantage of his home park being spacious AT&T Park as he had just a 4.01 xFIP. Peavy has yet to go six innings in any of his eight career post-season starts and he has a career 4.97 ERA vs. Kansas City. He allowed four earned runs on six hits plus two walks in Game 2. Ventura has just one Quality Start this post-season and although he escaped with allowing two runs, he did allow eight hits in just 5.1 innings in Game 2. The ‘over’ is 9-4-1 in the Royals’ last 14 home games.

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Pick: ‘over’ 7

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Monday NFL: Washington vs. Dallas

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The Dallas Cowboys lead the NFC East and have won six straight games, while the Washington Redskins come off their second win of the year with those wins coming vs. the lowly Jaguars and Titans. However, the Redskins are capable of controlling Time of Possession and keeping the Dallas offense off the field, as the Cowboys’ defense is 30th in the NFL in yards per carry allowed at 4.9 and the Redskins figure to employ heavy doses of very capable running backs Alfred Morris and Roy Helu, especially with the relatively weak-armed third string quarterback Colt McCoy starting. And when Dallas has the ball, Washington can apply good pressure on Tony Romo with Ryan Kerrigan and former Cowboy Jason Hatcher. That may not be enough for Washington to win, but it could keep the scoring down. The ‘under’ is 8-3 in the last 11 head-to-head meetings in this bitter rivalry.

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Pick: ‘under’ 49

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Sunday NFL: Philadelphia vs. Arizona

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The Philadelphia Eagles and the Arizona Cardinals have identical 5-1 records, but the Eagles have been playing the better football recently and Philadelphia has had two weeks to prepare to boot coming off of a bye week. The Eagles are most renowned for their fast-break offense under Chip Kelly, but their defense has been improving throughout the year and they shut out the Giants 27-0 in their last game before the bye with LeSean McCoy also busting out of his funk with 149 rushing yards. As for the Cardinals, in their last three games they were blown out in Denver 41-20 for their only loss, they allowed over 400 yards while beating the struggling Redskins with the help of a late interception and they had a hard time putting away the winless Raiders 24-13 last week. The Cardinals are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 October games.

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Pick: Eagles +109 (Money Line)

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