Pregame

Tuesday MLB: Seattle vs. Cleveland

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Highly regarded rookie Trevor Bauer of the Cleveland Indians, the third overall pick of the 2011 MLB Draft, had some growing pains beginning this season but is now fulfilling his potential. Sure Bauer is 4-5 with a 3.93 ERA, but he has four straight official Quality Starts and has actually allowed three runs or less in eight of his last nine starts while allowing four runs in the other. He has 82 strikeouts vs. 30 walks in 84.2 innings and recorded a Quality Start the first time he faced the Seattle Mariners allowing three runs in 6.1 innings. Hisashi Iwakuma is not posting the Cy Young caliber numbers he had last year while often getting lost in the shadow of Felix Hernandez, but he has still been solid going 8-5 with a 3.09 ERA and tiny 0.99 WHIP. The ‘under’ is 36-14-1 in the Mariners’ last 51 games overall.

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Pick: ‘under’ 7½

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Monday MLB: Milwaukee vs. Tampa Bay

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The Tampa Bay Rays had their nine-game winning streak snapped by Boston yesterday and they could be in danger of losing two straight as Kyle Lohse gives good underdog value to the Milwaukee Brewers. Lohse has been the best pitcher on the Milwaukee staff going 11-4 with a 3.07 ERA and 1.09 WHIP along with an excellent ratio of 101 strikeouts vs. 25 walks, and he is in great current form having allowed three earned runs or less in seven of his last eight starts including exactly one run each of his last two outings. Jake Odorizzi is 6-8 with a 3.97 ERA for the Rays, and while he has pitched better than that with a 3.39 FIP and 3.57 xFIP, he does have command issues with 3.54 walks per nine innings, 10th highest in the majors. The Brewers are 9-2 in Lohse’s last 11 starts as an underdog.

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Pick: Brewers +121

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Sunday MLB: Baltimore vs. Seattle

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Two teams on six-game ‘under’ streaks square off when Miguel Gonzalez and the Baltimore Orioles visit Roenis Elias and the Seattle Mariners. Both pitchers are making their first career starts vs. their respective opponents here, which should make things tougher on each offense. Gonzalez has allowed three earned runs or less in 14 of his last 15 starts for the O’s while allowing only four runs in the other outing, and he is facing a Seattle offense batting .218 vs. right-handed pitchers at home while averaging 3.24 runs per nine innings against them. Elias went into a skid following a hot start, but he rebounded to hold the Mets to one run on five hits last time out and is facing a Baltimore lineup batting a paltry .210 vs. righties over the last 10 contests. The ‘under’ is 21-8 in the Mariners’ last 29 games vs. right-handed starters.

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Pick: ‘under’ 7½

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Saturday MLB: Detroit vs. L.A. Angels

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After cashing the ‘under’ in the matchup between the Detroit Tigers and Los Angeles Angels Friday, we are coming right back with it again. It is no secret that Justin Verlander is a mere shell of what he once was for the Tigers at 9-8 with a 4.84 ERA and 1.45 WHIP, but he has shown glimpses of his old self lately while posting four Quality Starts in his last six starts with a nice ratio in those outings of 32 strikeouts vs. eight walks. And all Tiger starters now have some support with the acquisition of closer Joakim Soria, who has yet to make his Detroit debut. Matt Shoemaker has allowed three earned runs or less in eight of his 10 starts for the Angels while going 7-3 with 72 strikeouts vs. 15 walks in 69.1 innings. The ‘under’ is 7-1 in the Tigers’ last eight games vs. teams with winning records.

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Pick: ‘under’ 8½

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Friday MLB: Detroit vs. L.A. Angels

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This could be a relatively low scoring affair despite the recent troubles of southpaws Drew Smyly of the Detroit Tigers and Tyler Skaggs of the Los Angeles Angels. Smyly had a rough patch allowing 13 runs in 14.1 innings over three starts, but he recovered last out allowing just one run and four hits in seven innings vs. Cleveland. He is facing an Angles’ lineup that has slumped to .207 vs. lefties the last 10 games, averaging a putrid 2.25 runs per game against them in that time. Skaggs has allowed 11 runs in 11.2 innings his last two starts, but he still has a very good ratio of 74 strikeouts vs. 27 walks and he has allowed only eight homers in 16 starts, leading to a 3.59 FIP, and this will be his first ever appearance vs. Detroit. The ‘under’ is 16-5 in the Tigers’ last 21 road games vs. left-handed starters.

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Pick: ‘under’ 8½

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