Pregame

Thursday CFB: Miami-FL vs. Virginia Tech

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This may seem like a big total for two statistically good defensive teams like the Miami Hurricanes and Virginia Tech Hokies, but we expect a higher scoring game than some think. One reason is because these defenses can force turnovers and give their offenses good field position. Also, there is a glaring home vs. away split for the Hurricanes, as they are 0-3 on the road with their defense allowing 263.7 rushing yards per game on 4.9 yards per carry away from home. Granted the Hokies could not run in an ugly loss at Pittsburgh last week, but their top three running backs were out and Marshawn Williams should return tonight. Meanwhile the passing of Hokies QB Michael Brewer can always lead to points – for one team or the other! And Miami has the biggest scoring threat for either team in Duke Johnson. The ‘over’ is 4-0 in the last four Miami games following a straight up win by more than 20 points.

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Pick: ‘over’ 49

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Wednesday MLB: San Francisco vs. Kansas City

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Jake Peavy of the San Francisco Giants had excellent numbers after being acquired from the Red Sox, as he went 6-4 but with a 2.17 ERA and 1.04 WHIP. However, just like in his early career in San Diego, he took advantage of a pitcher’s park in AT&T Park, as his xFIP for San Francisco was only 4.01. He loses that benefit at neutral Kauffman Stadium when he faces the Kansas City Royals. Yordano Ventura takes the hill as the Royals try to even up this World Series, and he was one of the hardest throwing pitchers in baseball this season with his fastball averaging 96.6 MPH and topping out at a blazing 101.9! He should also be tough his first time facing the Giants, but we do not think he will escape unscathed given his 4.85 playoff ERA. The ‘over’ is 5-0 in the Giants’ last five games vs. right-handed starters.

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Pick: ‘over’ 7 (+105)

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Tuesday CFB: Arkansas State vs. UL Lafayette

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In a good Sun Belt matchup, the superior Arkansas State Red Wolves defense should prevail over the UL Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns. Arkansas State is 4-2 overall, 2-0 in conference and 5-1 ATS with the only non-cover coming in a tough non-conference battle at Miami where the Red Wolves lost 41-20 to the Hurricanes as 14½-point dogs. The Wolves did play Tennessee tough and beat Utah State, and that nice non-conference schedule served them well in a 52-10 road demolition of Georgia State last game. UL Lafayette averages 413.2 yards with 194.8 coming on the ground, but the Cajuns do not figure to have their usual running success vs. a 22nd ranked ASU rushing defense allowing 3.1 yards per carry, and ULL quarterback Terrance Broadway averages only 6.3 yards per pass with more interceptions (8) than touchdown passes (7). The road teams are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings.

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Pick: Arkansas State -2

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Tuesday MLB: San Francisco vs. Kansas City

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Madison Bumgarner of the San Francisco Giants pitched well enough in Game 5 of the NLCS allowing three earned runs in eight innings vs. the Cardinals, but he was not nearly as sharp as his first three post-season starts over which he allowed two earned runs in 23.2 innings. He is making his fifth post-season start already and doing so on normal four days rest when a couple of extra days off may have suited him well. James Shields of the Kansas City Royals got that extended rest after allowing four earned runs on 10 hits in five innings vs. the Orioles in the ALCS, as he is going on 10 days rest. Still, Shields has a 5.62 ERA in three 2014 post-season starts so he should allow at least a few runs to help this low ‘over’ along. The ‘over’ is 6-2 in Shields’s last eight starts vs. the National League.

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Pick: ‘over’ 6 (-115)

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Sunday NFL: Arizona vs. Oakland

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The Oakland Raiders may be 0-5, but they played with a lot of enthusiasm in their first game under new coach Tony Sparano while losing just 31-28 to the red-hot Chargers on an improved covering effort last Sunday. If the Raiders can duplicate that effort, we feel Derek Carr, Andre Holmes and Darren McFadden can again have offensive success here vs. an Arizona Cardinals team that has some key injuries on defense, most notably Calais Campbell, and thus allowed 354 passing yards to Kirk Cousins last week and 4.2 yards per carry when Washington ran the ball. This is also a horrible scheduling spot for the Cardinals as a road favorite vs. a non-conference opponent, and a winless one at that, with bigger conference tests vs. the 5-1 Eagles and 5-1 Cowboys in their next two games! The Raiders are 4-0 ATS in the last four head-to-head meetings.

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Pick: Raiders +4

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