Pregame

Sunday NBA: Charlotte vs. Miami

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The Miami Heat have always had a propensity for turning up the intensity level once the playoffs start, but that may not be the case in Game 1 of their opening series as double-digits favorites over the Charlotte Bobcats. And a bit of indifference from the Heat should actually lead to a competitive game here as the Bobcats are on a nice roll, going 20-9 after the All-Star break and winning eight of their last nine games. Charlotte boasts one of the more underrated stars in the NBA on Al Jefferson, who averaged 21.8 points and 10.8 rebounds for the season and scored at least 20 points in 37 of his last 45 games, and also a defense that finished fourth in the league in points against (97.1 per game) and sixth in field goal percentage allowed (44.2 percent). The Bobcats are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games vs. the Eastern Conference.

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Pick: Bobcats +10

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Saturday NBA: Memphis vs. Oklahoma City

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Look for a relatively low scoring game when the Oklahoma City Thunder host the Memphis Grizzlies in Game 1 Saturday. The Memphis defense finished third in the NBA in points allowed at 94.6 per game, while the offense ranked 27th in points scored with 96.1 per contest. The main reason for that combination was an offense that ranked dead last in the NBA in pace rating. Believe it or not, while the Thunder are renowned for their offense, they actually rank fifth in defensive efficiency, ahead of Memphis in eighth despite ranking only 12th in points against at 99.8 per game. That is because the Thunder play at a much faster pace with more points against being a by product, as the fact is that Oklahoma City is third in field goal percentage allowed at just 43.6 percent. The ‘under’ is 19-7 in the Grizzlies’ last 26 road games.

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Pick: ‘under’ 192

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Saturday NBA: Golden State vs. L.A. Clippers

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Last season the Golden State Warriors upset the third seeded Nuggets in the first round and they now look to do the same to the third seeded Los Angeles Clippers. Although the Warriors only matched their sixth seeding of 2013 in the tough Western Conference, this team is better defensively as it ranks 10th in the league in points against at 99.5 per game, fourth in field goal percentage allowed and third in three-point defense. That defense will come in handy as the Clippers lead the NBA in scoring with 107.9 points per game. Also, “Lob City” usually does not work in the playoffs so the Clippers cannot rely on their flashy style to advance. On the other side, the Warriors are the antithesis of flashy but they have the three-point shooting to stay close or pull an upset. The Warriors are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 Conference Quarterfinal games.

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Pick: Warriors +7

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Saturday NBA: Brooklyn vs. Toronto

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Their have been reports in certain circles that the Brooklyn Nets “tanked” their last few games to fall to a six-seed to avoid the Bulls in the first round to instead face these young Toronto Raptors. Well, the Raptors have probably heard those same reports and they must feel disrespected! Toronto won the Atlantic Division this season finishing four games in front of the Nets, and the Raptors won handily 96-80 the last time the Nets visited Toronto on January 11th. That was right when the Nets started playing their best basketball too as Brooklyn went 34-17 from January 1st onward. However, it was once at 33-13 and may have loss all of its momentum by losing four of the last five games. Plus it should be an electric atmosphere in Canada Saturday with the return of playoff basketball. The Raptors are 16-7 ATS in their last 23 games vs. teams with winning straight up records.

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Pick: Raptors -2½

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Wednesday NBA: Dallas vs. Memphis

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This is a big matchup between the final two playoff seeds in the West, the Dallas Mavericks and the Memphis Grizzlies, with the winner getting the seventh seed and avoiding the San Antonio Spurs until the Western Conference Finals and the loser drawing the Spurs in the first round as the eighth seed. The significance of that is that the Spurs swept both of these teams 4-0 this season and own extended winning streaks over both of them. Speaking of sweeps, the Mavericks are trying to do that the Memphis after winning the first three meetings while scoring at least 105 points in every game vs. a Grizzlies’ defense ranked third in the NBA in points against. The third of those wins came here in Memphis, and Dallas has not minded going on the road at 23-17 straight up. The Mavericks are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 road games vs. teams with a home winning percentage of greater than .600.

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Pick: Mavericks +3½

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