Pregame

Thursday NFL: Chicago vs. Detroit

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It may seem strange seeing the Detroit Lions favored by a touchdown on Thanksgiving over the Chicago Bears given that the Lions have looked terrible while not scoring a touchdown in back-to-back losses while the Bears come off of back-to-back wins. However, those two Detroit losses both came on the road to the teams with the two best records in the NFL in Arizona and New England, while the two Chicago wins both came at home vs. a couple of lightweights in Minnesota and Tampa Bay with neither win being impressive as both opponents had chances to tie those games and force overtimes on their final possessions. The Lions now return home to their indoor turf where they are 4-1 straight up and 3-1-1 ATS and Matthew Stafford should have a field day vs. Chicago’s 28th ranked passing defense. The Bears are 10-21-1 ATS in their last 32 games overall.

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Pick: Lions -7

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Wednesday NBA: Portland vs. Charlotte

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These teams have almost inverse records with the Portland Trail Blazers at 11-3 and the Charlotte Hornets 4-11, but we expect Charlotte to make a game of this playing at home. The Blazers have barely gotten by two weak teams in the first two games of this three-game Eastern trip, nipping the Celtics 94-88 and then rallying from a halftime deficit to beat the 0-14 76ers 114-104, failing to cover as 13-point favorites. But the fact that they still won those games could give them a sense of contentment while looking forward to flying home after this contest. The Hornets have revenge in mind after blowing a 23-point lead and losing 102-100 at Portland on November 11th. They were led by Al Jefferson and Kemba Walker in that contest and both those players have continued playing at high levels. The home teams are 7-2 ATS in the last nine head-to-head meetings.

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Pick: Hornets +6

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Tuesday CBB: Arkansas vs. SMU

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The SMU Mustangs were the most notable snub by the NCAA Tournament last season with the committee citing their weaker schedule as a reason, so the ‘Stangs have scheduled more power conference schools in non-conference play like the Arkansas Razorbacks of the SEC. Unfortunately 2-2 SMU lost its first major challenge vs. an Indiana team that lost at home to Eastern Washington last night, and it also lost its other tough game at Gonzaga. Things do not get any easier here vs. 25th ranked Arkansas, as the 3-0 Razorbacks rank 22nd in the land in effective field goal percentage at 58.8 percent thanks to ranking fourth in three-point shooting at a tremendous 51.4 percent! The Hogs should be able to take advantage of SMU’s 203rd ranked three-point defense, even here in Dallas. SMU is 0-4 ATS in its last four games vs. teams with a winning percentage above .600.

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Pick: Arkansas +4

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Monday CBB: Eastern Washington vs. Indiana

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The line may be inflated due to name recognition when the Indiana Hoosiers host the Eastern Washington Eagles. Indiana does not have a senior in its rotation and while junior guard Yogi Ferrell is one of best offensive players in the Big Ten, the Hoosiers look weak in the frontcourt and their 4-0 start is a mirage due to scheduling. Putting this spread into perspective, Indiana beat Lamar by 13 points Saturday while never leading by more than 14. Lamar is ranked 342nd on the Pomeroy Ratings. Eastern Washington is ranked 151st with a bullet as the Eagles are 13th in the country in field goal percentage (53.9 percent) and averaging 81.0 points while the defense is allowing 55.8 points on 35.0 percent shooting. After three home wins, the Eagles covered losing by nine points at SMU on Saturday. Eastern Washington is 10-2 ATS its last 12 games overall.

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Pick: Eastern Washington +13

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Sunday NFL: Cincinnati vs. Houston

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The Houston Texans come off a devastating defensive performance in a 27-7 win over the Browns as first round draft pick Jadeveon Clowney is back from injury, preventing opposing teams from double-teaming J.J. Watt and the results were obvious with Brian Hoyer under constant pressure. Offensively Houston was without Arian Foster but it did not change its conservative game plan as Alfred Blue stepped in with 156 yards on 38 carries! Look for more of the same no matter the back vs. the 28th ranked rushing defense of the Cincinnati Bengals. The Bengals upset the Saints last week, but the Houston defense is now much more formidable and the Texans have proven that they can stop Andy Dalton, as Cincinnati has scored 19, 10 and 13 points respectively in his three career starts against them. The ‘under’ is 11-4 in the Texans’ last 15 games following a win by more than 14 points.

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Pick: ‘under’ 43½

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